It’s just over a month until election day and the latest poll numbers show a tightly contested Boston mayoral race. Candidates John Connolly and Martin Walsh are vying for the City Hall office held by Thomas Menino for an unprecedented five terms, and according to the poll conducted by Suffolk University, Connolly leads Walsh by a margin of 7 points.
600 likely voters were polled from October 2 through the 6th, as noted by the press release, showing 41% in favor of Connolly, 34% for Walsh, and 25% having yet to decide.
Connolly, you might remember, was tapped as the early favorite during the Boston mayoral preliminary stage, narrowing the field to just two, by the same research center. Connolly would end up receiving 1.25% less votes than Walsh.
The tallies proved equally optimistic for both campaigns as voters have deemed “Connolly 62 percent favorable” while “Walsh polled at 55 percent favorable.”
Breaking it down even further, the results illustrated Connolly’s bias among the female demographic at “43 percent to 29 percent” for Walsh, as well as sentiments resounding in the minority demographics. “Among black voters, men supported Walsh 45 percent to 14 percent, while women supported Connolly 52 percent to 16 percent. Among Hispanic men, Walsh led 45 percent to 36 percent, while Hispanic women preferred Connolly 47 percent to 31 percent.”
Walsh, a native to the Dorchester neighborhood, likely pulled better statistics from minorities in part because of his residence; Dorchester, based on the data from the same census, is a predominantly African-American community, with 46% of residents identifying as such.
The two candidates are poised to square off in their first of four debates on October 15.
[Image via WGBH]